UBS economist – cryptocurrencies have a fundamental flaw: crypto supply cannot be reduced in case of a slump in demand

22 ianuarie 2021

Cryptocurrencies may never be able to work as actual currencies, according to UBS Global Wealth Management – Bloomberg story

The “fundamental flaw” inherent in cryptocurrencies is that supply can’t be reduced when demand is slumping in most cases, Paul Donovan, chief economist at UBS GWM, said in a video this week. That means they can’t be considered currencies, he said.

A proper currency can be a stable store of value, providing certainty that it will be able to buy the same basket of goods tomorrow as it buys today. That confidence is derived from central banks’ ability to reduce supply when demand is falling. There is no such mechanism for switching off supply on most cryptocurrencies, and therefore their value can slide, leading to a collapse in spending power,” Donovan said in a video published by UBS.

Donovan added that it is difficult for people to use a currency that is not stable in value.

People are unlikely to want to use something as a currency if they’ve got absolutely no certainty about what they can buy with that tomorrow,” Donovan said in the video.

Crypto market volatility has increased significantly since the start of 2021. The overall market cap reached a high of $1.1 trillion during the first week of the year as the world’s leading cryptocurrency Bitcoin touched an all-time high of $41,500. Cryptocurrencies have seen a major correction in the recent days as the total market cap dropped by more than $200 billion and Bitcoin lost $11,000 in price. BTC is currently trading around $31,000 after losing 28% of its value in the last 14 days.

See also the Reuters story about the recent drop in the price of bitcoin: Bitcoin heads for worst weekly loss in months

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Gabriela Nistor – director general adjunct BT

Tendinţele pe care le-am remarcat înainte de începerea pandemiei s-au accelerat pe perioada stării de urgenţă. Am văzut acest lucru ca o oportunitate, un tipping point pentru bancă. Post-pandemie nu avem cum sa ne întoarcem la comportamentul financiar pe care îl aveam până în februarie a.c. Relaţia românilor cu online-ul s-a schimbat. In plus, cardul fizic se va dematerializa. Vom asista la o scădere a cererii pentru cardurile fizice, respectiv la o creştere a preferinţei pentru componenta digitală a acestora.”

Sondaj

In 23 septembrie 2019, BNR a anuntat infiintarea unui Fintech Innovation Hub pentru a sustine inovatia in domeniul serviciilor financiare si de plata. In acest sens, care credeti ca ar trebui sa fie urmatorul pas al bancii centrale?